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Why Conservatives Just Lovve McCain (Locked)
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DVD Profiler Unlimited Registrantbbursiek
Registered: March 20, 2007
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sugarjoe,

Glad to have helped! Unless of course you are being sarcastic ..... no that couldn't be the case - could it???

Nah!

Because if it were you'd still be playing your aforementioned juvenile pointless one liner put down game again, and even you wouldn't be that silly!

Brian
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Quoting skipnet50:
Quote:
Astra:
I'll dig and see what I can find but my memory is that the number exceeded a million.

Found this at Stanford university
...Coldly taken as a daily average for the 24 years of Saddam's reign, these numbers give us a horrifying picture of between 70 and 125 civilian deaths per day for every one of Saddam's 8,000-odd days in power"

Thanks for those stats Skip, appreciate it.

I realize this is crass, and some of you will probably be uspet with me for making this post, but since the discussion seemed to go in a death count direction it made me curious. Also, I honestly thought the following would tip the other way, but this is how the math works out:

Per the above stats that Skip located, Saddam's average daily death count is between 70-125 deaths, giving us a total of between 560,000 and 1,000,000 during his reign. That only accounts for civilian deaths, so the proper total is obviously higher than that.

According to a study by ORB, by January 2008 the total deaths as a direct result of the Iraq war was 1,033,000. If we divide that by the total number of days (1766) we get a daily death toll of 584 people per day.

That's per the ORB. If we use figures from a study done by The Lancet in 2006, we get a total death toll of 654,000. If we then divide that by the number of days (1186) we get a daily death toll of 551.

So, based on the above, there's no doubt that the number of deaths caused by the invasion outnumber those by Saddam. Both in terms of overall total as well as a daily average. I imagine this probably holds true even if we pad Saddam's numbers to include military deaths, although the ORB or The Lancet figures do not include military deaths either.

All that said, I don't believe that these figures alone are sufficient for anyone to condemn the invasion.

In order to have that discussion one would have to include many other variables. Some of which are theoretical and based on what-if scenarios, some of which are based on an individual's value-system, and some of which would include hard-to-quantify information such as the impact of people living under Saddam's rule (and his theoretical successor) for another unknown number of years.

Another big talking point, in terms of determining how condemning the above figures are, is: Who is to blame for these deaths?

Some folks would argue that the coalition forces are to blame for each one of the deaths, since those people possibly wouldn't be dead had the invasion not taken place.

Other folks would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for deaths caused directly by them, not deaths caused indirectly due to the instability created by the invasion.

Yet others would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for military deaths.

It's a complicated issue, and one that simply cannot be boiled down to death tolls, but at the same time I do believe death tolls should be part of the equation.

I don't know how much this post has brought to the discussion, but I thought my findings were interesting and wanted to share them with you guys - since you're obviously interested in this sort of thing.

KM
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 Last edited: by Astrakan
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorsugarjoe
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Quoting Astrakan:
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Some folks would argue that the coalition forces are to blame for each one of the deaths, since those people possibly wouldn't be dead had the invasion not taken place.

Other folks would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for deaths caused directly by them, not deaths caused indirectly due to the instability created by the invasion.

Yet others would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for military deaths.

It's a complicated issue, and one that simply cannot be boiled down to death tolls, but at the same time I do believe death tolls should be part of the equation.

I don't know how much this post has brought to the discussion, but I thought my findings were interesting and wanted to share them with you guys - since you're obviously interested in this sort of thing.

KM


IMO the current problems in Iraq are based on serious mistakes made by the US administration following the invasion of Iraq. One might be for or against the invasion of Iraq but I guess everybody has to admit that things went terribly wrong once the US were there. Some might call it a lack of understanding of this country others purley ingnorance or incompetence, but at the end of the day it doesn't matter, because not one dead person will come alive again.
 Last edited: by sugarjoe
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Registered: March 13, 2007
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Quoting sugarjoe:
Quote:
Quoting Astrakan:
Quote:

Some folks would argue that the coalition forces are to blame for each one of the deaths, since those people possibly wouldn't be dead had the invasion not taken place.

Other folks would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for deaths caused directly by them, not deaths caused indirectly due to the instability created by the invasion.

Yet others would argue that the coalition forces are only to blame for military deaths.

It's a complicated issue, and one that simply cannot be boiled down to death tolls, but at the same time I do believe death tolls should be part of the equation.

I don't know how much this post has brought to the discussion, but I thought my findings were interesting and wanted to share them with you guys - since you're obviously interested in this sort of thing.

KM


IMO the current problems in Iraq are based on serious mistakes made by the US administration following the invasion of Iraq. One might be for or against the invasion of Iraq but I guess everybody has to admit that things went terribly wrong once the US were there. Some might call it a lack of understanding of this country others purley ingnorance or incompetence, but at the end of the day it doesn't matter, because not one dead person will come alive again.


And there were no problems there prior to the war, right.

Like the murders of thousands of Iraqi citizens (Kurds)? Or the imprisonment of thousands of political dissidents?  Or the trampling of the rights of half the population (namely females)?  Or the total disregard of the UN resolutions?  Or the earlier invasion of Kuwait?  Or the earlier war with Iran?

So where was your indignation when that was going on?

Yes, things were just swell in Iraq before the latest war!
Hal
 Last edited: by hal9g
DVD Profiler Unlimited Registrantbbursiek
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Quote:
IMO the current problems in Iraq are based on serious mistakes made by the US administration following the invasion of Iraq. One might be for or against the invasion of Iraq but I guess everybody has to admit that things went terribly wrong once the US were there. Some might call it a lack of understanding of this country others purley ingnorance or incompetence, but at the end of the day it doesn't matter, because not one dead person will come alive again.


The curent problems in Iraq (which are far less now than a year ago as the violence has dropped dramatically in recent months) have a lot of causes - including some serious mistakes made by the US in the aftermath of the invasion. However to place the blame for all of the problems at the hands of the US is to ignore the reality that people have choices.

Many of those people chose to engage in barbaric acts of terror against their fellow citizens in an effort to derail the formation of the new government and to try to foster a sectarian war between Shiite and Sunni. To some degree they succeeded for a time but fortunately their were brave people on both sides who stepped forward to work together to try to make for a better future.

The level of deaths is a terribly tragic thing but hopefully in the long run the people of Iraq will enjoy a far better life than that offered them under Saddam. I agree that the amount of deaths that have occurred in the aftermath of the invasion should be noted as a factor in evaluating the war however it is not easy to put a price in blood on your freedom.

I've always believed that freedom was worth fighting and dying for and thankfully there are many brave young men and women who agree and have put their lives on the line in Iraq, Afghanistan, Kosovo, Bosnia, etc. over the years. Certainly many Iraqis have done the same by volunteering for the new government police and military forces knowing that would put a big target on their backs -- and many of them have died serving their new government. I think that their sacrifice to help build a better future for their country deserves recognition beyond statistics in a body count total.

Brian
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorWinston Smith
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Well said, Brian.

Skip
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Billy Video
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Quoting Snark:
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Quoting Rifter:
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Wrong again.  You can argue all day long as to whether or not we should have gone to war, but after the fact of going to war, you get on the same page and go all out to win it, every time.  By your logic, we'd be pulling out with the job unfinished, and that makes all the sacrifices made worthless.


I respectfully disagree Rifter.  What the "job" is has never been clearly defined. 

The sacrifices of those who went did accomplish what we orginally set out to do. 

There are no WMDs in Iraq. 

Hussein is dead and gone.

Iraq is free to choose it's own destiny.

The question is, will the war be a net benefit to the US? 

I don't think there's a clearly defined "win" in that sense no matter how we look at it.  Hussein was evil, but his ambitions were local.  Iraq was a stable, secular country that helped to contain Iran.  In destablizing it we opened doors for terrorists and provided them with a powerful recruiting tool. 

In any case, the decision to leave Iraq will eventually be forced on us by the Iraqis themselves.  They do not want us to remain there indefinately.  I think the best we can hope for is a stable country that based on geography and common religion is closer to Iran philosophically than us.  How much desire and ability they will have to combat terrorists within their borders is open to debate.

I hope I'm wrong, but that's my feeling on the subject. 

And with that, I'm done with Iraq.  We're going over things that everyone has pretty much gotten set in their own minds and further discussion will only cause bad feelings.  It's simply too emotional for many of us.  (Including myself here.  A woman I care for very much is due to be deployed in January.)



Yeah, a lot of people have a lot things set in their minds, and they are set wrong.  Far too many people have bought the whole pack of lies perpetrated on the public by the Democrats and their media sycophants, and simply can't be bothered to find out the truth.  Lemme tell ya, though, ask some soldiers who have been there (and many of them have volunteered for a 2nd or 3rd tour) and the story you'll get is vastly different than the garbage you've heard on the news.  They know why we're there, and what it will take to win.  I hope your friend comes back OK, but keep in mind that every one of those people is a volunteer and knew full well when they took the oath that they might have to go to war at some point.  I know a little something about that, because I volunteered during Vietnam and spent two tours in that little corner of the world.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting widescreenforever:
Quote:
Well todays news.. " Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska has been found guilty on all seven counts in his corruption trial."  is One more Nail in the coffin of the 'McCain march' to the White House...
His party is in sooo much trouble now,, there is No way the Republicans can take this .. !

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news... 



Right, that's why the polls are getting even tighter.  Don't count McCain out till all the votes are counted.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting sugarjoe:
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Quoting Rifter:
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Quoting sugarjoe:
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Quoting Dan W:
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I think you mean to direct that to Wikipedia. Those are the number they report. I did not edit their list.


Also in Wikipedia:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Iraq_War#Iraqi_deaths

Thee table below summarizes the Iraq War casualty surveys.
Survey                              Iraqi deaths                                   March 2003 to...
Iraqi Health Ministry survey 151,000 violent deaths out of 400,000 excess deaths due to the war. June 2006
Lancet survey                 601,027 violent deaths out of 654,965 excess deaths. June 2006
Opinion Research Business survey 1,033,000 violent deaths as a result of the conflict. August 2007



Which is to say that nobody really knows how many there are, nor how many of those civilians were actually militia members and members of terrorist cells.  Nor does it address specifics as to how many were actually due to collateral damage and how many were murdered by militia or al Queda sympathizers.


There were no militia members, terrorist cells or Quaida sympathizers before the US invaded Iraq. And what does the term 'collateral damage' mean, innocent civilians?




Oh, really?  Maybe you should talk to some people who are actually IN the military and who have been over there.  There have been news reports on the documents found that prove beyond a doubt that al Queda and Saddam's representatives were thick as thieves.  Oh, and maybe you remember a gent named Muqtada el Sadr?  He is the head of the largest militia faction in Iraq and was there long before we arrived.  Even Saddam didn't try to disarm his bunch.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorsugarjoe
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Quoting Rifter:
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Oh, really?  Maybe you should talk to some people who are actually IN the military and who have been over there.  There have been news reports on the documents found that prove beyond a doubt that al Queda and Saddam's representatives were thick as thieves.  Oh, and maybe you remember a gent named Muqtada el Sadr?  He is the head of the largest militia faction in Iraq and was there long before we arrived.  Even Saddam didn't try to disarm his bunch.


There was NO connection between Iraq and al Quaida ( 'Al Qaeda-Hussein Link Is Dismissed', Washington Post). Before the US invasion Muqtada al-Sadr was not significant. 'The rise of Muqtada has been one of the surprises of the four years since the US invaded.' (The Independent).
 Last edited: by sugarjoe
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorsugarjoe
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People,

please stop abusing the reputation system. You might have a different opinion but that is no reason to throw out red arrows. 
 Last edited: by sugarjoe
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorWinston Smith
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Quoting sugarjoe:
Quote:
Quoting Rifter:
Quote:
Oh, really?  Maybe you should talk to some people who are actually IN the military and who have been over there.  There have been news reports on the documents found that prove beyond a doubt that al Queda and Saddam's representatives were thick as thieves.  Oh, and maybe you remember a gent named Muqtada el Sadr?  He is the head of the largest militia faction in Iraq and was there long before we arrived.  Even Saddam didn't try to disarm his bunch.


There was NO connection between Iraq and al Quaida ( 'Al Qaeda-Hussein Link Is Dismissed', Washington Post). Before the US invasion Muqtada al-Sadr was not significant. 'The rise of Muqtada has been one of the surprises of the four years since the US invaded.' (The Independent).

Now that is interesting, sugarjoe. It may well have been a surprise to The Independent, but it surprised very few with any knowledge of the region. I love the way the media outlets are regarded as information Gods, when about half the time they in reality know very little. .

Skip
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Outta here

Billy Video
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorsugarjoe
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Quoting skipnet50:
Quote:
Quoting sugarjoe:
Quote:
Quoting Rifter:
Quote:
Oh, really?  Maybe you should talk to some people who are actually IN the military and who have been over there.  There have been news reports on the documents found that prove beyond a doubt that al Queda and Saddam's representatives were thick as thieves.  Oh, and maybe you remember a gent named Muqtada el Sadr?  He is the head of the largest militia faction in Iraq and was there long before we arrived.  Even Saddam didn't try to disarm his bunch.


There was NO connection between Iraq and al Quaida ( 'Al Qaeda-Hussein Link Is Dismissed', Washington Post). Before the US invasion Muqtada al-Sadr was not significant. 'The rise of Muqtada has been one of the surprises of the four years since the US invaded.' (The Independent).

Now that is interesting, sugarjoe. It may well have been a surprise to The Independent, but it surprised very few with any knowledge of the region. I love the way the media outlets are regarded as information Gods, when about half the time they in reality know very little. .

Skip


As an expert of this region, please share your knowledge with the rest of us. I would also appreciate if you were able to give references to your sources. Thank you.

And although the rise is not a surprise to you it looks like you agree with the fact that it has been a rise. Thank you for backing me up.
 Last edited: by sugarjoe
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting sugarjoe:
Quote:
Quoting skipnet50:
Quote:
Quoting sugarjoe:
Quote:
Quoting Rifter:
Quote:
Oh, really?  Maybe you should talk to some people who are actually IN the military and who have been over there.  There have been news reports on the documents found that prove beyond a doubt that al Queda and Saddam's representatives were thick as thieves.  Oh, and maybe you remember a gent named Muqtada el Sadr?  He is the head of the largest militia faction in Iraq and was there long before we arrived.  Even Saddam didn't try to disarm his bunch.


There was NO connection between Iraq and al Quaida ( 'Al Qaeda-Hussein Link Is Dismissed', Washington Post). Before the US invasion Muqtada al-Sadr was not significant. 'The rise of Muqtada has been one of the surprises of the four years since the US invaded.' (The Independent).

Now that is interesting, sugarjoe. It may well have been a surprise to The Independent, but it surprised very few with any knowledge of the region. I love the way the media outlets are regarded as information Gods, when about half the time they in reality know very little. .

Skip


As an expert of this region, please share your knowledge with the rest of us. I would also appreciate if you were able to give references to your sources. Thank you.

And although the rise is not a surprise to you it looks like you agree with the fact that it has been a rise. Thank you for backing me up.



He didn't back you up.  As for sources, both Skip and I know people who are either currently in government and/or the military, or were career officers now retired.  They know most of the high ranking officers who are running things in Iraq and Afghanistan today, because they served with them during their own careers.  I trust what they tell me, and being honorable men, I know they aren't stretching the truth unlike the vast majority of those in the press.  Having been in Iraq, they know what is really going on, and its a far cry from 95% of what you see on TV or read in the papers.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorsugarjoe
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Quoting Rifter:
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  He didn't back you up.


I think Skip is old enough to speak for himself 


And  'I know somebody who knows something' is not good enough to convince me. As long as you can't provide references we can stop this discussion here and now.
 Last edited: by sugarjoe
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting sugarjoe:
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Quoting Rifter:
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  He didn't back you up.


I think Skip is old enough to speak for himself 



I wasn't speaking for him, I was agreeing with him, and explaining WHY we know what we know.  You can believe me or not, as you see fit.  But in the end, you'll find that we're right.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
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