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Global Economic Meltdown
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DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantMole
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Registered: March 13, 2007
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Quoting pauls42:
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Quoting dee1959jay:
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Quoting Mole:
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Quoting hydr0x:
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......Unlike the people who lost 100% of their saving through the Iceland debacle.


I wait with bated breath to see whether we get any of our £30,000 back from those, er, gentlemen!


Many Dutch citizens are affected by the Icesave debacle as well. It is my understanding that both the UK and the Dutch governments are talking to the Icelandic government. Last night the Dutch Finance secretary announced that one way or the other, Dutch people with an Icesave account would get their money back (up to the NL-guaranteed limit of 100,000 euros). Surely the British government should be able to offer something similar??
I also heard the Dutch government is opposing any IMF loans to Iceland as long as a settlement of the Icesave debacle is not part of the deal.


As you say they are talking - but I'm not sure that the use by the UK government of anti-terror legislation to freeze the Iceland bank(s) accounts in the UK was quite the way to gain meaningful dialogue.


I tend to agree, but at least it got their attention!
Chris
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Yeah, I saw the reaction of the Icelandic prime minister to what Gordon Brown had said just now. He didn't seem too pleased...

Oh well, I guess that once everyone's calmed down a bit and egos have been set aside, something will be worked out. I reckon that both the British and the Dutch governments are trying to increase the pressure on Iceland - they just do it in a different way... 
DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile Registrantpauls42
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Quoting Mole:
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Quoting pauls42:
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Quoting dee1959jay:
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Quoting Mole:
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Quoting hydr0x:
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......Unlike the people who lost 100% of their saving through the Iceland debacle.


I wait with bated breath to see whether we get any of our £30,000 back from those, er, gentlemen!


Many Dutch citizens are affected by the Icesave debacle as well. It is my understanding that both the UK and the Dutch governments are talking to the Icelandic government. Last night the Dutch Finance secretary announced that one way or the other, Dutch people with an Icesave account would get their money back (up to the NL-guaranteed limit of 100,000 euros). Surely the British government should be able to offer something similar??
I also heard the Dutch government is opposing any IMF loans to Iceland as long as a settlement of the Icesave debacle is not part of the deal.


As you say they are talking - but I'm not sure that the use by the UK government of anti-terror legislation to freeze the Iceland bank(s) accounts in the UK was quite the way to gain meaningful dialogue.


I tend to agree, but at least it got their attention!


I didn't say it was a bad idea... 

As an aside - it seems that (£8 Billion) £800,000,000,000 is in the Icelandic banks from UK individuals / councils / etc. So we are talking big money here.

And since these are not UK banks, the £50,000 automatic cover by the British Govt doesn't apply. They have said however that they will manually extend the cover for individuals. But of course this leaves companies / councils / other organisations who have put money their in these banks in trouble.
Paul
 Last edited: by pauls42
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Quoting skipnet50:
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Fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy ride.

Skip


You got it, Betty! 
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting hal9g:
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I know. I was just trying to explain the difference between some countries. Subprime don't really exist in Norway, and interest rates have gone from a low of 1,25% to 5,75% in a few years, and with the latest development interest rates from the banks have gone even higher. It may be a little tough for some, but there's no sign that the Norwegian housing market will collapse, because people are still managing to pay their mortgages.

The un-employment rate is at an all-time low, so all this crisis will do over here, is bringing things back to normal. According to the newspapers today, Norwegian banks are solid and the financial minister recently said that we would see a slowdown, but no crisis.

So yes, this is affecting everyone, but certain countries (like Iceland) did not have a good "starting position" when this hit.

Of course it could get much much worse, and we may see an economic collapse worldwide, but I doubt it.  So it was not to sound cocky or anything, but I do feel quite safe from where I sit.


I hope you're right, but I doubt it.

This is a global financial problem and no one is going to go unscathed.

Someone is using rose-colored glasses.


Too true.  The heavily socialized countries like Sweden, Norway, Venezuela, etc., could actually end up in worse shape than those that are more like the US infrastructure-wise.  Sounds like Norway is already starting down the slippery slope of spiraling inflation.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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Quoting Daddy DVD:
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Iceland maybe almost bankrupt but so is the US.
The US is more than $10 trillion in debt.



The debt is a function of GDP, and the ratio of debt to assets.  The US is not nearly as bad off in that respect as many other countries.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting Unicus69:
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Really?  I guess I don't know much about economics, or I'm behind the times.  I always through payroll came out of profits or accounts.  Like I always thought it worked this way - your company makes X this month, out of that you pay Y in payroll, Z for expenses, put A aside for later, and B goes to you the owner.  I suppose I'm just naive about the way things are supposed to work.


That is how business is supposed to work.  Unfortunately, it doesn't.  More and more, companies are borrowing money based on projected receivables.  When those receivables don't meet expectations, they borrow more money.  It can turn into a vicious cycle that ends with the company going under.



There's another aspect of that that most people don't even realize.  Part of the reason many companies have to borrow so heavily to meet payroll is due to the overheard of benefit packages that unions have negotiated of behalf of employees.  Health insurance, retirement, etc., are a huge nut every month that must be covered as well as state and federal payroll taxes.  The actual wages are often less than the cost of all the taxes and benes.  This recession is going to hit the unions very hard as well.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantRifter
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Quoting 8ballMax:
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Quoting Unicus69:
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Really?  I guess I don't know much about economics, or I'm behind the times.  I always through payroll came out of profits or accounts.  Like I always thought it worked this way - your company makes X this month, out of that you pay Y in payroll, Z for expenses, put A aside for later, and B goes to you the owner.  I suppose I'm just naive about the way things are supposed to work.


That is how business is supposed to work.  Unfortunately, it doesn't.  More and more, companies are borrowing money based on projected receivables.  When those receivables don't meet expectations, they borrow more money.  It can turn into a vicious cycle that ends with the company going under.


Exactly. That's where we stand right now. I'm in the Produce industry, and with higher than normal operating expenses, we're struggling...as are many in the industry. Our customers are paying their invoices later and later but the expenses keep coming in. Now, with the credit crunch it's looking grim .



With crude oil down to about $78/bbl, how soon will that lower fuel cost take some of the pressure off you guys?  We use huge amounts of diesel fuel, and the lower cost is already helping us out.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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Quoting whispering:
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If the governments would just let the banks fall, what would/could actually happen to your average joey?


One of the worst recessions (including a huge run on the banks) was in the 1880's.  Thousands of banks failed across the country.  It was in many ways worse than the Crash of '29 preceding the Great Depression.  Ultimately, though, it had the effect of clearing out a lot of dead wood, and a lot of laws re: finance and stocks were changed.  When we bounced back there was a huge boom in industry, including the start of the oil industry, that lasted nearly 50 years.

A lot of experts think (and most of the citizens as well) that we should let the chips fall where they may this time as well.  When the markets stabilize and start back up, you're going to see a LOT of people become very rich very fast because they bought prime stock for next to nothing.  Market corrections are brutal and painful for nearly everyone, but ultimately we're better off once things start working again.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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Quoting skipnet50:
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North and Whispering

We have a little thing created in the wake of the Great depression called the FDIC (Federal Depostory Insurance Corporation). It is an insurance fund underwritten by the US Government that "guarantees" the safety of all bank accounts up to a maximum of $100,000 per account. ome like to see that as a safety net, but ir doesn't take much to understand that if the Government started just "allowing" banks to fail the FDIC would very quickly become overwhelmed and money would indeed be lost.

This is an absolute mess and care must be taken, especially when involving the Government. Part of the problems that led to the Great Depression, besides a Tax increase in 1932 that destroyed everything, was that every action taken by the Government to attempt to counter the trend, only succeeded in making it worse...a little bit like what we seem be to seeing right now. It's gonna hurt, that is certain, how much is the unknown.

Skip




A lot of people don't remember that the market crash of '29 had flattened out and was showing signs of turning around by '32.  But Hoover raised taxes on nearly everything, in the mistaken idea that the tax revenues would inject liquidity into the system.  It had the exact opposite effect, eating up what little cash people and businesses had left, plunging the world into a full blown depression.

If it hadn't been for WWII and war-time production needs, the Depression would have lasted well into the 1940's.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
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Quoting dee1959jay:
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Just sit right through it, Skip! You'll only experience damages once you start selling, which I would suggest it is not the right time to do. Until such a time, it's just virtual damage. Or am I missing something?



In fact, once things bottom out, and that isn't far from happening if history is any indication, start buying as many and as much blue chip stock as you can, and you will not only recoup your paper losses but should get a nice bump out of it as well.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorWinston Smith
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Quoting Rifter:
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Quoting skipnet50:
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North and Whispering

We have a little thing created in the wake of the Great depression called the FDIC (Federal Depostory Insurance Corporation). It is an insurance fund underwritten by the US Government that "guarantees" the safety of all bank accounts up to a maximum of $100,000 per account. ome like to see that as a safety net, but ir doesn't take much to understand that if the Government started just "allowing" banks to fail the FDIC would very quickly become overwhelmed and money would indeed be lost.

This is an absolute mess and care must be taken, especially when involving the Government. Part of the problems that led to the Great Depression, besides a Tax increase in 1932 that destroyed everything, was that every action taken by the Government to attempt to counter the trend, only succeeded in making it worse...a little bit like what we seem be to seeing right now. It's gonna hurt, that is certain, how much is the unknown.

Skip




A lot of people don't remember that the market crash of '29 had flattened out and was showing signs of turning around by '32.  But Hoover raised taxes on nearly everything, in the mistaken idea that the tax revenues would inject liquidity into the system.  It had the exact opposite effect, eating up what little cash people and businesses had left, plunging the world into a full blown depression.

If it hadn't been for WWII and war-time production needs, the Depression would have lasted well into the 1940's.


Absolutely correct.

Skip
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Quoting Rifter:
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There's another aspect of that that most people don't even realize.  Part of the reason many companies have to borrow so heavily to meet payroll is due to the overheard of benefit packages that unions have negotiated of behalf of employees.  Health insurance, retirement, etc., are a huge nut every month that must be covered as well as state and federal payroll taxes.  The actual wages are often less than the cost of all the taxes and benes.  This recession is going to hit the unions very hard as well.


Actually, benefits average between 35% and 40% of raw salaries for most companies although it is certainly higher for those that are unionized.

Overhead can add another 20% to 30% and G&A another 10% to 15%.

So just for labor, companies have to add up to 85% to costs.  That's before the cost of raw materials and of course something known as "profit".
Hal
 Last edited: by hal9g
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WAKE UP PEOPLE

The Federal Reserve is not part of the US Govenment, and Income Taxes are a fraud:

The truth about the Reserve and Taxes:
 Last edited: by THEMADCHEF
DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantStar Contributorhal9g
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Quoting THEMADCHEF:
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WAKE UP PEOPLE

The Federal Reserve is not part of the US Govenment, and Income Taxes are a fraud:

The truth about the Reserve and Taxes:


Some very fascinating information there! 

Time to quit filing those tax returns!     
Hal
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Just finished watching a special documentary on Fox about financial crisis and its causes.

It went into great detail in explaining the origins of the problem, who did what to whom, and where things stand at the moment.  They named names of those responsible as well, and for me at least it was not a surprise to find that the two individuals most culpable are Rep. Barney Frank, and Sen. Chuck Schumer, with Rep. Chris Dodd running a close second to them.  To be sure, at lower levels there are a host of others who aided and abetted the collapse, but the main blame falls on Frank and Schumer.

In fact, Frank, as chairman of the finance committee, shot down Republican attempts to pass a bill that would have prevented Fannie and Freddy from purchasing subprime paper.  Frank and his Dem cmte members voted it down in cmte along party lines, and then Frank prevented any possibility of the bill getting a full vote by the full Senate.

Those men should be prosecuted to the fullest extent and jailed for a very long time.  Personally, I think they should be shot, but then I'm not politically correct.
John

"Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice!" Senator Barry Goldwater, 1964
Make America Great Again!
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